USD/JPY: Overextension near 160 raises BoJ risk – DBS

Philip Wee at DBS Group Research argues that USD/JPY looks overextended as it tests Japan’s 160 pain threshold. The pair is supported by the US-Japan rate differential, but markets now price a roughly two-thirds chance of a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike on April 28. Philip Wee at DBS Group Research argues that USD/JPY looks overextended as… Philip Wee at DBS Group Research argues that USD/JPY looks overextended as it tests Japan’s 160 pain threshold. The pair is supported by the US-Japan rate differential, but markets now price a roughly two-thirds chance of a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike on April 28. Philip Wee at DBS Group Research argues that USD/JPY looks overextended as it tests Japan’s 160 pain threshold. The pair is supported by the US-Japan rate differential, but markets now price a roughly two-thirds chance of a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike on April 28. Policymakers increasingly see prolonged Japanese Yen weakness as a cost-push inflation threat to households.Yen weakness collides with BoJ hawkish turn"USD/JPY appears overextended as it… For traders, the practical value is less about the headline alone and more about how it changes context, sentiment and the quality of the next decision. Watch follow-through, not just the first reaction: liquidity, volatility and confirmation across related assets usually tell the real story.