RBI to hold rates at 5.25% through 2027 as oil risks cloud outlook

Supports a steady policy outlook for India, but highlights growing upside inflation risks via oil, which could eventually shift the bias toward tightening. INR sensitivity to crude remains a key channel. RBI seen on hold through 2027 as oil risks skew inflation outlook higherSummary:Reuters poll: 69 of 71 economists expect RBI to hold at 5.25% on April 8… RBI seen on hold through 2027 as oil risks skew inflation outlook higher . Summary: . Reuters poll: 69 of 71 economists expect RBI to hold at 5. RBI seen on hold through 2027 as oil risks skew inflation outlook higher Summary: Reuters poll: 69 of 71 economists expect RBI to hold at 5.25% on April 8 Majority see rates unchanged until at least mid-2027 Inflation below 4% target gives RBI policy flexibility Middle East conflict raises oil-driven inflation risks RBI expected to maintain neutral stance, avoid dovish tone Growth seen around 7%, but stagflation risks flagged A… For traders, releases like this can quickly shift rate expectations, currency direction, index futures and broad risk sentiment. Watch the next move in the dollar, front-end yields and index futures to see whether the market prices this release as a true surprise or only a passing headline.