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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Upside remains capped by 1.1550; focus on ECB

fxstreet.com 2026-03-18 19:54

News brief

EUR/USD’s short-term outlook has deteriorated steadily since the pair was rejected from the yearly highs near 1.2100 the figure. The break below the key 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) reinforces the downside bias and points to the risk of a deeper pullback ahead.

Why traders care

For traders, releases like this can quickly shift rate expectations, currency direction, index futures and broad risk sentiment.

What to watch next

  • Watch the next move in the dollar, front-end yields and index futures to see whether the market prices this release as a true surprise or only a passing headline.

EUR/USD’s short-term outlook has deteriorated steadily since the pair was rejected from the yearly highs near 1.2100 the figure. The break below the key 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) reinforces the downside bias and points to the risk of a deeper pullback ahead. For traders, releases like this can quickly shift rate expectations, currency direction, index futures and broad risk sentiment. Watch the next move in the dollar, front-end yields and index futures to see whether the market prices this release as a true surprise or only a passing headline.

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